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Today’s Bob Woodward scoop regarding General Stanley McChrystal’s report about the status of the war in Afghanistan is both unsurprising and provocative.fake louis vuitton McChrystal’s assessment was about as expected. As I reported last week, McChrystal was bequeathed a flawed battle plan by his predecessor David McKiernan–too much chasing after bad guys, not enough protection of the Afghan population. McChrystal wants an unspecified number of additional troops to do the latter–that is, to focus on a counterinsurgency strategy.McChrystal’s implicit emphasis is on Kandahar province, where Mullah Omar’s Quetta Shura Taliban (QET) is most active and the struggle to secure Kandahar city and its suburbs looms as the greatest challenge.fake ugg boots Also not surprising. What’s missing is context: You could add 100,000 troops and the effort would be futile if the Afghan political mess is not resolved–and quickly. What’s also missing is intelligence about the other side of the border: will the Pakistanis finally shut down the Haqqani and Gulbuddin Hekmatyar Taliban groups operating on the southeast border–to say nothing of Mullah Omar’s shura (which the Pakistan military helped create and may still support). What’s provocative about the report is that it was leaked to Woodward–a serious breach of conduct by someone, possibly in the military (or a supporter the military’s position).gucci handbag for sale This was an effort to lobby a quick decision on troop strength–which the military wants, so that it can begin planning the 2010 fighting season in Afghanistan. But a quick decision is not a good idea right now. The President needs to know what the next Afghan governmnet is going to look like–will there be a runoff between Hamid Karzai and Abdullah Abdullah? If Karzai still manages to score more than 50% after the phony ballots are tossed, will Abdullah and other Karzai opponents endorse the Karzai government? What sort of moves will Karzai make to restore some confidence in his government?? Are the Canadians going to stay in Kandarhar Province, are the British going to stay in Helmand? Are the Dutch and Australians going to stay in Uruzgan? Obama was absolutely right on the Sunday talk shows: troop levels aren’t nearly as important as strategy. He has, at most, one more shot at getting this right.fake chanel shoes The military piece is only one part of the picture–but for many conservatives, like John McCain, it is the only piece that matters. That is a disastrously myopic way to look at an exceedingly complicated problem. Any attempts by the military, or their allies, to pressure a troop increase now are premature and misguided.
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We??ve heard a lot of threats back and forth about the risks of Dems going it alone on health care reform.fake louis vuitton shoes Here??s a story from me on the challenges for both Democrats and Republicans in flying solo and, in a twofer Monday, here??s another story from me on the 2010 Senate landscape. The risks, of course, increase greatly if the process collapses and Democrats are forced to resort to reconciliation. On the other hand, as David Axelrod warned Senate Dems last week, the risks of doing nothing at this point are incalculably worse.
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In a Republican-primary season marked by political chaos, here’s something that finally seems settled: Mitt Romney will win the Tuesday, Jan.louis vuitton shoes replica 31, Florida primary. So say the latest public polls, several of which suggest Romney has a double-digit lead over Newt Gingrich. So say Romney supporters, who have delighted in discombobulating the former Speaker with a week of overwhelming force from all directions. And so say many Gingrich backers, who are already looking past Tuesday’s contest to find states in which their candidate might live to fight another day.replica chanel shoes Winning is always better than losing, of course, but a Florida victory would be particularly sweet for Romney. For months, his advisers prepared for scenarios in which Romney lost the Iowa caucuses and the South Carolina primary and relied on a Florida victory to fast-track his march to the nomination. But they didn’t anticipate that Gingrich would be the one to win South Carolina or that a swirl of controversy over Romney’s business background, tax payments, weak debate performances and moderate record as governor would accompany the loss. (PHOTOS: The Rich History of Mitt Romney) Romney and his team have recovered in Florida by returning to attack mode and keeping pressure on Gingrich.louis vuitton handbags for sale They have flooded the TV and radio airwaves with ads, released a phalanx of Establishment supporters to engage with the media, sent pro-Romney members of Congress to rattle Gingrich at his campaign events and debuted a more aggressive Romney on the stump and in the most recent debate. Even Romney’s most optimistic backers could not have anticipated how thoroughly the former Speaker would be thrown off message by their assault. Just as in the weeks before the Iowa caucuses, Gingrich has faded rapidly in the polls and is now angrily defending himself against attacks that are accurate enough in parts to require a response and inaccurate enough in others to infuriate him. However unlikely, Romney could still lose to Gingrich in Florida, which would make his path to the nomination much tougher.chanel handbags for sale If his South Carolina loss was a grave test for the front runner, a Florida defeat would be a disaster, calling into question his viability as a general-election candidate. Many in the GOP establishment would fear for Romney’s chances against Barack Obama in the fall if Romney proved incapable of besting the underfunded Gingrich in a large battleground state. (MORE:?With Gingrich on the Trail in Florida, Romney Surrogates Are Never Far Behind) But the reverse is also true: Republicans looking for a warrior to face off against Obama have been heartened by Romney??s strong debate performances and his team’s clinical takedown of Gingrich in Florida. Still, even with a win there, Romney faces major obstacles en route to the White House.gucci handbag for sale First, there is no indication Gingrich will give up anytime soon. He’s now talking about staying in the race all the way to the convention in Tampa regardless of Tuesday??s results, or, for that matter, those of the six electoral contests in February. Romney’s dismantling of his opponent has been, in a way, too thorough: attacked in TV ads paid for in part with Wall Street money, eviscerated in public by members of the Washington elite and disparaged in person by Romney himself, Gingrich will be indignant, irate and determined enough to fight on. And with more-favorable contests in the South coming up in March, he may see no reason to exit the race, which is, after all, just beginning.chanel outlet (PHOTOS: Newt Gingrich’s Life in Pictures) Romney??s campaign is determined not to repeat the mistakes it made after Iowa, when it became complacent about the Gingrich threat and shifted focus to the momentarily surging Rick Santorum. But Boston will have to carefully calibrate its attacks to ease Gingrich out of the race without alienating his supporters or provoking nuclear retaliation. And Romney has his weaknesses. He still has a highly unfavorable rating.louis vuitton backpack for sale In national polls, he continues to trail Gingrich. While he performs better than Gingrich against Obama in head-to-head matchups, he is beginning to slide as the President’s approval ratings are on the rise. Gingrich may be losing momentum as he grapples with fundraising challenges and questions about his temperament, but Romney is failing to unite the party or attract independents. Which leads to the second problem Romney now faces.louis vuitton backpack for sale Although he successfully defended his business record in last Thursday??s debate, Romney has shown a vulnerability on the issue in recent weeks that has shaken his supporters. All sides have long known that Romney’s work for ?? and income from ?? Bain Capital would be a symbolic issue in a general election, but his frequently tin-eared efforts to talk about it have left Democrats with a plateful of opposition goodies. (MORE:?For Mitt Romney in Florida, It??s All About Character (Attacks)) Add to that the disclosure of his 14% effective tax rate, curious financial holdings in the Cayman Islands and a recently closed Swiss bank account, and it is clear that Obama’s re-election campaign has picked up substantial political assets in the past few days. Indeed, even as Boston has eviscerated Gingrich, many Republicans have been unnerved by the sloppy way Romney and his team have handled his taxes, especially since they’ve had years to get Romney’s fiscal house in order and craft a response.fake louis vuitton shoes Having funds in the Cayman Islands, regardless of whether they’re fully taxed or under his control, is the kind of unforced error that can bury a candidate. For now, Romney must grapple with the ??Oh no!?? factor. ??Oh no!?? cried some Republicans after Gingrich won South Carolina, pondering the notion of the volatile former Speaker winning the nomination and driving the party to electoral ruin in November. Such visions prompted party luminaries like Bob Dole to hit Gingrich with maximum force.louis vuitton replica But if Romney claims victory in Florida on Tuesday and the impatient media declare him the inevitable GOP nominee, shouts of ??Oh no!?? will emanate from the right-leaning anti-Establishment. Sarah Palin, talk-radio hosts and Tea Partyers, among other conservatives, are not ready to crown a leader with Romney’s record on health care, jobs and social issues.
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Florida moves out of sight for Gingrich, who’s down?10 or 15 points in the latest polls.gucci outlet online His campaign is spinning the loss and Newt might just fight out the rest of the race on bile alone. He is promising Administration posts left and right. How Romney’s team scrambled to sink Gingrich–again. (For one, they outspent him by $12 million.fake louis vuitton) Why budget directors make bad presidential candidates. The Sunlight Foundation on the lessons of SOPA lobbying fight. Scott Brown and Elizabeth Warren can both be a little tone-deaf on wealth. Traders at Freddie have been making big bets that Americans won’t be able to refinance their mortgages.cheap gucci belts And Mitt Romeny is rich.
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Pompano Beach, Florida A political riddle presents itself on the trail with Mitt Romney: Can a true man of character constantly attack the character of another man? From the first introductions on Sunday, character was presented as the defining, most winning attribute of the former governor: Romney was touted as the candidate whose moral qualities are most developed, whose forthrightness is most apparent.fake ugg boots Meanwhile, the Romney camp has been sending a steady stream of attack ads, surrogates and snarky quips into the world, hoping to undermine Newt Gingrich once and for all. ??He??s honest. He??s fair,?? said Florida Rep. Connie Mack, as he introduced Romney at a morning rally in Naples.fake gucci shoes ??This is a man who has lived his life, every step of his life, honestly, with integrity and character.?? This is the same Mack who showed up on Gingrich??s turf Saturday and scuffled with the Speaker??s press secretary. At the Speaker??s event, Mack reminded attendees and reporters of Freddie Mac??the institution, Romney insinuated throughout Sunday, that Gingrich was paid oodles to promote just so it could push Florida mortgages into forecloseure. (MORE:?Why Romney is Winning Florida and What Comes Next) Former Florida Senator Connie Mack III took the mic after his son.chanel handbags for sale The reason he supports Romney, first and foremost? ??He??s a man of character,?? he said. ??Under attack, under challenge, he responds as a cool, calm, collected man, a person that we need in the White House.?? (After the rally, Mack Sr. told TIME he thought Romney would carry the state by as much as 12 points, numbers that reflect leads from polls conducted over the weekend.louis vuitton speedy) A calm, cool Romney then spoke and within 30 seconds, he was mocking Gingrich, likening his opponent to Goldilocks: Gingrich said the audience in the first debate was too quiet, and too loud in the second. ??It has to be juuuust so,?? Romney said. ??If we fail in debates or we fail to get the support of people, it??s time to look in the mirror.?? Assaults on Gingrich??s ability to lead and his history of ??influence peddling?? continued throughout the day, as Romney drew a picture of a grasping, flawed man overstaying his welcome in the Sunshine State.fake louis vuitton shoes (PHOTOS:?The Rich History of Mitt Romney) Many attendees at the events picked up the refrain. ??He??s a gentleman,?? said a 79-year-old independent voter, when asked what she most liked about Romney. ??He comes with no baggage. He??s a straight-forward guy, married a lot of years.louis vuitton shoes replica No problems. He??s not gonna be chasin?? women around the White House,?? said Roy Bartlett, an engineer who migrated south from Pittsburgh. Romney may not have the same problems and personal baggage as twice-divorced, gaffe-prone Gingrich, but he has plenty of political baggage: flip-flops on gay rights, cap and trade, gun laws and abortion. In a floundering moment at an afternoon rally in Haileah, Florida, Rep.fake louis vuitton Ileana Ros-Lehtinen attempted to counter ads aimed at Romney??s pro-life credentials. ??Romney is a wonderful new believer, for a while now,?? she said emphatically, if a little off message. One senior Romney aide said the campaign was pushed into its offensive state after Gingrich launched more personal affronts. The most character-damning ads in recent weeks attacked Romney??s record at Bain Capital, portraying him as a heartless businessman with no consideration for those who might lose livelihoods while he gained profits.ugg boots outlet ??The idea that Newt Gingrich would launch a character attack against Mitt Romney is particularly offensive,?? says senior adviser Stuart Stevens. ??There are certain things you don’t let go unanswered.” So they have been responding in-kind. On Sunday morning, the campaign released a web video called ??Credits,?? which runs the names of all members of Congress who had voted to reprimand Gingrich when he was Speaker.chanel handbags for sale (Point being: It??s a long list.) This followed an ad released on Friday that featured Tom Brokaw as the messenger; in 1997 footage from NBC Nightly News, he tells of the investigation into ethics violations and Gingrich’s tenuous role as the head of the House. Romney approved the message, but Brokaw was not a willing surrogate. NBC News asked the campaign to pull down the spot.gucci handbag for sale Still, by objecting to the ad, NBC made sure it would be run many more times on the news, at no cost to the Romney camp. Watching television on Saturday night, Floridians could have seen other attack ads from the Romney campaign followed by even more from his allies’ super PAC, Restore Our Future. ??This type of thing happens in almost every campaign. People deal with it and they kind of move on,?? the elder Mack said when asked about the negative tone Romney had been taking.fake gucci shoes ??If he gets blowback, everybody gets blowback.?? The everybody??s-doing-it defense is an easy one. There is an assumption, among many voters and politicians alike, that going negative in ads (and elsewhere) is a necessary evil. ??I don??t like any of them.handbags louis vuitton They sound so desperate,?? said Marilyn Zimmerman, a retiree who attended the morning rally. ??Probably most candidates don??t want to do it, but it??s such an accepted political practice now.?? On Monday morning, the day before Florida’s primary, a Quinnipiac University poll found Romney leading Gingrich by 14 points. People were surveyed over the weekend, meaning they may well have seen the barrage that started last week and continued through at least Sunday.cheap gucci belts Update, 9:45 a.m.: Just as Romney started to let up on Gingrich at an event in Jacksonville on Monday morning, aiming his barbs almost entirely at Obama in his speech, the Gingrich team finally got into the surrogate game. Newt man Rick Tyler, of the Gingrich-allied super PAC Winning Our Future, arrived at the Romney rally.replica chanel shoes He said he came of his own accord and ran toward reporters to berate Romney for his negative campaigning. Noting Romney’s team had outspent them 5-to-1, Tyler seemed fed up. “Romney has proved to be a disgraceful and despicable candidate,” he said, citing the attacks on Gingrich’s time at Freddie Mac and the conditions under which he resigned as Speaker. “He has no character.louis vuitton handbags for sale” “There’s nothing people don’t know about Newt,” he said. He also said that people don’t know the truth about Newt. But it’s likely too late for surrogate protests about the details of Gingrich’s history to make much difference with Florida voters heading to the polls tomorrow.
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Maybe Hillary Clinton reads Swampland.gucci outlet online Because on a day when I wrote that, on the question of diplomatic security in Benghazi, “the buck should stop with her” and not the president, Madam Secretary stepped forward to say, “I take responsibility” for inadequate security at the U.S. consulate there on September 11. More likely, Clinton was responding to the unusual political dynamic that I described, in which Republicans, after years of trashing Hillary at every opportunity, suddenly seem not to remember her name–because in the home stretch of a presidential campaign, it’s Obama they want to attack, not his Secretary of State.louis vuitton outlet online Republicans say the idea that the buck should stop with Clinton is too easy. One Republican partisan points me to a White House statement issued on September 10 which describes a briefing at which? “the President and the Principals discussed specific measures we are taking in the Homeland to prevent 9/11 related attacks as well as the steps taken to protect U.S. persons and facilities abroad, as well as force protection.louis vuitton handbags for sale” (Emphasis mine.) So the White House wanted to claim credit for presidential attention to security detail before the attacks, but now suggests questions of diplomatic security don’t rise to the presidential level. Perhaps there’s some opportunism here. But it’s also totally plausible that the very specific question Republicans and the Romney campaign are driving–concerns about security in Benghazi–never came up in that briefing.louis vuitton handbags for sale This particular debate, however, feels like it’s missing the forest for the trees. There’s a more important debate about the continued threat of Islamic radicalism and how the Obama administration has managed it. On Fox News today, Romney foreign policy advisor Richard Williamson called the Benghazi attack “evidence that [Obama's] so-called success in the war on terror wasn’t so successful,” adding that “targeted killings can’t solve this problem.” (PHOTOS:?Political Pictures of the Week, Oct.chanel outlet 5??11) What remains unclear is what Romney would have done much differently. He hasn’t called Obama’s Libyan intervention a mistake. Nor does he say Obama should have propped up Hosni Mubarak against the revolutionary tides that swept the Muslim Brotherhood to power in Egypt. Both events have arguably created new opportunities for al Qaeda.fake louis vuitton But so has, for instance, the supply of arms to Syrian rebels, which Romney wants to accelerate. On these big questions, the buck definitely stops with the President. But when it comes to explaining clearly how to address these problems, it also stops with Mitt Romney.
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TIME’s politics team brings you up-to-the-minute Twitter commentary and coverage throughout the Hempstead, New York debate.louis vuitton replica
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The question was, as a student quickly pointed out, irrelevant: it was about polygamy, not gay marriage. Santorum would have been much better off if he had said, “Look, my church teaches that marriage is between a man and a woman.cheap gucci belts I believe that to be true traditionally, biologically and spiritually. In my mind, marriage has everything to do with bringing new life into this world. Only a marriage between a man and a woman is conducive to that. You may disagree with my view.fake uggs I hope, at least, you’ll give it some thought. But let’s move on to other issues that are crucial this year, issues we might agree on.” (MORE: The Passion of Rick Santorum) For the record: I believe Santorum’s view of homosexuality is archaic and inhumane. I believe that the acknowledgment of homosexuality as a natural state has reduced the sum of unnecessary anguish in the world.handbags louis vuitton I also believe that two men or two women who love each other, and want to share their resources, and be responsible for each other, especially late in life, should be able to do so legally–and that such couples should be allowed to adopt and raise children. Whether these sorts of arrangements should be consecrated by various religious sects is up to those sects (and that means that private agencies, like Catholic Charities, can’t be forced to provide adoptive children to gay couples–a current controversy). I know more than a few such couples; they are my friends and neighbors; they are active, positive citizens who add stability and social capital to our community. Any denigration of these people, even the slightest suggestion–implicit in Santorum’s question–that their love is comparable to bestiality, polygamy or anything less than the love of a man and a woman, is an act of anti-social violence.louis vuitton replica But Santorum clearly wanted the fight, which is six different kinds of stupid. ?Watching him at both events yesterday, he seemed ?completely inept as a big league candidate. A professional politician would have emphasized his economic plan in a state traditionally obsessed with economics. Santorum’s desire to eliminate the corporate tax on manufacturing could be a very popular issue in New Hampshire, but he barely mentioned it.louis vuitton replica At the Glenn Beck event in Windham, he spent much of the evening responding to lunatic conspiracy theories about United Nations threats to U.S. sovereignty, promulgated by the ridiculous Beck. He didn’t pander, which was good.chanel outlet But he didn’t really get his message across either, which was bad. The contrast with Hunstman couldn’t be more stark. Huntsman was sharp this morning, much better than the last time I saw him on the stump. He focused on the issues that actually matter–the economy, the deficit, energy and foreign policy, as well as the larger problem of trust or, rather, how to deal with the lack of trust in any of our big institutions, from Congress to the Presidency to Wall Street.loui vuitton Huntsman is a conservative. He is pro-life (with no flip-flops), he imposed a flat tax in Utah (and would have a lower, flatter but still progressive federal income tax structure), he favors Paul Ryan-style entitlement reform, he is opposed to Dodd-Frank and other government schemes to over-regulate the business community (but he has a plan to break up the “too big to fail” banks). He knows a lot and communicates it easily. But he’s going nowhere in this primary.louis vuitton outlet online Others have suggested that he “offended” the Republican base by acknowledging his belief in evolution and man-made climate change. If so, the Republican base badly needed offending. (MORE: The Huntsman Fallacy) But Huntsman’s real sin is deeper than that: his is a vitriol-free candidacy. There is no gratuitous sliming of Barack Obama or his fellow Republican candidates.louis vuitton handbags for sale There is no spurious talk of “socialism.” He pays not the slightest heed to the various licks and chops that Rush Limbaugh has made into stations of the cross for Republican candidates. He is out-of-step with the anger that has overwhelmed his party and puts it at odds with the vast, sensible mainstream of this country. 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